Ernesto Expected to Become a Hurricane Today; Florence Becomes the 6th Named Storm

06-Aug-12

Tropical Storm Ernesto is in the western Caribbean roughly 190 miles east-northeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua-Honduras border. Since being named on the afternoon of Thursday, August 2, 2012, Ernesto traversed the eastern and central Caribbean over the weekend, and passed roughly 200 miles south of Jamaica on Sunday morning August 5th. Ernesto is expected to reach the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula on Wednesday morning as a Category 1 hurricane. Based on the current track forecast, Ernesto is not likely to impact the US mainland.

Tropical Storm Ernesto Potential Storm Track - August 6, 2012

Tropical Storm Ernesto Potential Storm Track - August 6, 2012
Source: National Hurricane Center (NHC)

At 11 am EDT Monday, August 6th, maximum sustained winds were 65 mph, and Ernesto is expected to become a hurricane later today. The center of the storm was at latitude 15.8N, longitude 80.5W, and was moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph. It is forecast to move north of the north coast of Honduras tonight and Tuesday, and Ernesto is forecast to reach the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula as a 90 mph Category 1 hurricane Wednesday morning.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the northern coast of Honduras and a hurricane watch is posted for the coast of Belize, with a hurricane warning from Chetumal to Punta Allen on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are possible along the northern coast of Honduras and northeast Nicaragua, with up to 8 inches possible over mountainous terrain.

Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Florence emerged as the 6th named storm of the season on Saturday morning, August 4th, in the eastern North Atlantic. After traveling westward for a day, Florence encountered shear conditions that prevented further development. At 5 am EDT Monday morning, August 6th, Florence was downgraded to a tropical depression, and further downgraded to a post-tropical low at 11 am.

EQECAT will continue to monitor these events and report future developments.

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